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He's a decent person, perhaps not cut out for the cut throat world of Westminster and Geopolitics. But Cameron wasn't exactly brilliant at Geopolitics. The truth is we don't know how a politician will fare as a Prime Minister until they are actually in the job. Which gives May the advantage of Corbyn whose not held any cabinet posts when Labour have been in power.
The Liberals have been in power before, but spent several decades in the wilderness before the Liberal Democrat party emerged in the 80's. They face an uphill battle to regain the seats they lost in 2015 and forming a Government is a long way off. Of course if the Labour Party destroys itself and the Liberal Democrats play their cards right, they could scoop up a lot of Labour voters. But I doubt it would happen under Farron.
Which shows conviction in their beliefs. If the electorate don't agree with them, they'll get voted out. That's Democracy. If the apathetic masses decide that Brexit isn't for them, the will of the people will change. The millions of voters who voted remain could well have a major impact on how the marginals turn out.
If the Liberal Democrats are very lucky, they'll win most of the seats they lost to the Tories back and maybe pick up some Labour seats. If the Liberal Democrats become the opposition party (assuming Labour implodes and thus becomes irrelevant) then I guess we are looking at anything between 5-20 years before they turn into a credible Party able to Govern.
If things don't go according to the polls we'll have a chaotic election night or it'll be like the last one exit poll indicates Tory win, then a night of seeing how big the Labour bloodbath is in the heartlands. |
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Author: Stuart Wright
26-11-2019 01:16:53