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I’ve watched the Brexit debate seriously for about a year, mainly through BBC2 News and I’m concerned not only about Brexit but also about our Parliamentary democracy which seems to be degenerating around Brexit. I raised my concerns by sending Emails to the BBC with my considered views. Not one of them to my knowledge has ever been aired. Many `experts’ and pundits are given air to their views but the public are lucky to get a `sound bite’. Many of these views are controversial and the sound bites meaningless. Why for example should an MP be allowed to say he/she is campaigning to remain in the EU when he/she has a mandate to leave it but no member of the public challenge him/her? The BBC like many media organisations pick and choose whose opinions and what opinions are aired (but this is NOT an attack or question against any of them). So I joined this forum for one reason only - to urge people to write or Email their MPs to urge them to support and vote FOR the Withdrawal Agreement. It is your right to do so whatever your MP thinks. My reasons are as follows:
1. Currently (28/09/19) we are heading to crash out of the EU on 31/10/19 so urgent action is required to avoid this if you want a deal. We are waiting to see the results of Boris Johnson’s re-negotiation efforts around mid October, but in my opinion ( as per point 2 following), there is unlikely to be any significant change.
2. Since the Government and EU drew up the Withdrawal Agreement (WA), the EU has never changed its stance that it cannot be renegotiated. They have offered assurances about the Backstop, they have stated their willingness to consider viable alternatives. But they have also said that no real offer from the Government has materialized and that any requested extension to Article 50 should be supported by a viable reason. They have already given us 2 extensions. Therefore the chance of a further extension seems remote.
3. The policy driving Brexit comes from Government but the progress is under Parliament’s control. The authority to negotiate with the EU was and still is vested in the PM AND GOVERNMENT AND NO ONE ELSE. During 3 years and more since the referendum there has been a general election and neither the political shade of the Government nor its aim or policy has changed despite the barrage of criticism of Government from opposition MPs (by opposition MPs I mean those from Labour, Liberal Democrats, SNP etc and Conservative `rebels’). So, that opposition has FAILED: failed in its calls for elections and referenda, failed in its acrimony. If the Government changed right now to a different shade (Labour for example), they would have the same tools available to them (negotiating for example) as the Government now and they would throw away their old `opposition hymn sheet’ and use the `Government hymn sheet’ -the one that the present Government is already using. They would also have the same EU to negotiate with. Therefore we would be in exactly the same position -facing the offer of the Withdrawal Agreement and needing to decide Deal or No Deal. All MPs needs to recognize that compromise is already embodied in the WA and that what is required is to SUPPORT the Government in its efforts to make progress with Brexit by unequivocally voting for the WA (but No Deal is a valid option….). Then the Government could get on with the real job rather than Parliament remain in an obstructive, self-destructive mode that is affecting the whole nation.
4. The democratic decision of the people’s referendum to leave the EU can not be nullified on any basis. The facts of Brexit are buried in complication, so deeply that even now there appears to be no consensus even among MPs and experts what constitutes good alternative trade arrangements. The only consensus seems to be that No Deal is undesirable. But here’s the folly. Some MPs who voted against the Withdrawal Agreement (ie they voted No Deal) then not only complain about getting what they voted for but want it ‘taken off the table’. You can’t have up without down, you can’t have right without wrong, you can’t have yes without no. You can’t have Deal without No Deal. Some MPs even openly state their opposition to leaving the EU. These MPs are not fit for the office in my opinion.
5. Parliament wanted and got a `meaningful vote’ on any negotiated arrangement with the EU but many MPs used it tactically, hence the reason why the 3 votes so far are meaningless (the tactics are useless) and have brought about stagnation. Parliament’s only real options are:
A - for MPs to vote again on the Withdrawal Agreement but this time only vote No Deal if they genuinely want No Deal and accept the responsibility if No Deal results ( I would think from what has been said that the result should be overwhelmingly Deal, ie WA accepted) OR
B - ask the EU for a further extension. If an extension is granted it will change nothing and will prolong and compound the situation making it even worse. If the EU refuses an extension the decision may be made for us -No Deal.
6. MPs have speculated, made guesses about possible trade arrangements in disorganized fashion in Parliament and only see No Deal where there is an alternative -Deal. If they opened their eyes and took a good look at the WA, they would see it has positive aspects, with outright advantages over No Deal, for example, rights for EU and UK expatriate citizens, agreements on fisheries, continued co-operation between various agencies. These agreements would come into effect immediately the WA is accepted. The WA is NOT a trade agreement but provides for an implementation (or transition) period with business as usual, during which real trade arrangements can be actually negotiated.
7. It has already been emphasized that the Backstop is a last resort insurance if negotiations fail – a sensible policy designed, respecting the Good Friday Agreement, to maintain the Irish Border situation much as it is now. It is not a devious trick. It has been emphasized that if the Backstop was actually invoked it would not be a permanent lock and that the EU’s own rules prevent this. The idea that the EU is a tyrannical monster which wants to hold us permanently against our will is borne of sheer, ill distrust. |
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