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Really really good point. With how fast the tech can potentially move forwards, its quite risk to invest that much money into VR.
Especially given Oculus seem to be holding back tech to not take away from the Oculus Quest. I would not be surprised if in 1-2 years time they release a ridiculous headset for PCVR. The reason why I thinks this might happen is they just keep pumping out awesome PCVR games, despite their hardware plans indicating they are going to gear towards the Quest. Surely if they only saw Mobile VR as a viable platform, they would have downgraded Stormland's scope heavily to make it Rift compatible.
I don't see Valve leaving light house tracking though. Its just the best form of tracking there is and their unique selling point. When they abandon light house tracking, the competitive pricing and the ability for Oculus to eat up profits will destroy them. At present, Valve offer the best fidelity in tracking at any price point and no can argue with that.
I don't see Pimax really doing much else for a while. Their headset is a mess. It isn't even consumer friendly. It doesn't have a built in audio solution. It still doesn't have the promised wireless functionality. Its still not comfortable. Lots of questions still about if they could have decreased the FOV slightly to make the distortion and resolution better.
The main players to make their move are definitely Oculus, HTC and Playstation now. Ultimately I see HTC releasing a promising product which is totally mis-priced. Playstation I think will actually really disappoint us and half-arse their VR2 headset, just fixing the basics of controllers, tracking, and a marginal increase in resolution to Quest levels. Oculus are a mystery to me now. They seem to concentrate on the Quest but continue to develop awesome PCVR titles. They've showcased great PCVR tech and people who have left the company over the direction they took for PCVR have indicated evidently that they do have something in-house which would have competed properly with the Index, and its probably a matter of when and not if they gets released (probably in a year or two once they see who they can bring in via the Quest).
I still think Oculus will probably need to create their own home console to push the CV2 to the masses of people who have bought an Oculus Quest. I don't see a clear pathway for a casual person who has bought a Quest and loves it to then buy a Gaming PC. An Optimised VR box complete with optimised architecture for PCVR, built in chips which smoothly deal with ASW and don't have any bloat, where Oculus Home IS the OS would be amazing; and then having the option for PC gamers to use their powerful RTX hardware instead.
I think the main limitation with Light house is I don't see it ever leaving the PC gaming market. I think Oculus on the other hand could pull it off but its really hard to sell a VR-console when there aren't enough VR-exclusive games. A really crazy plot twist would be if Oculus released a home console which competes with the PS4 and Xbox but prioritises VR. Then they would surely win the VR-war VERY quickly. I don't think they can do that at the moment aslong as the Rift S by itself costs £399. |
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