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Dont disagree that insulation is a great route to lower costs/use but its really only the best approach when your building from new or your construction of your building allows it. If you speak to any of the guys running things like green deal (UK's programme designed to increase home energy efficiency) they will tell you that a great number of the UK building stock is hard to treat and so costs quite a lot to apply insulation to. e.g. single skin brick properties of the back to back type where its almost impossible to insulate them without major disruption or massive cost.
Another oft missed point is that doing things like applying External Wall Insulation to older hard to treat properties could have profound effects on the look and feel of the UK's cities as swathes of properties become cement rendered rather than brick. Of course you can apply brick facades to EWI but a lot of those properties are council owned and they simply don't have enough money to do that sort of finish.
Fully agree that solar / wind need backup capacity on the grid but the future is not one of emitting CO2 burning up millions of years of stored fossil fuels (for a number of reasons). The future will be a combination solar, wind, gas, nuclear, waste to energy and storage and most importantly demand reduction.
Cant say I'm a massive fan of nuclear but it will have an important part to play in providing the baseload contribution, solar and wind in conjunction with storage will then be able to top up during the day peaks with the peak demand being filled by peaking gas plants. Storage will help to flatten out the peakiness of renewables, the other main area I see is distributed CHP (combined heat and power - gas generators that supply heat from the cooling jacket) these work really well for things like care homes where hot water demand is high.
In short the market will be a lot more complex than it is now but will use technologies that suit the situation and be much more distributed, large central power plants are a thing of the past (other than nuclear / waste to energy).
Oh and on PV cost you are behind the times While You Were Getting Worked Up Over Oil Prices, This Just Happened to Solar - Bloomberg Solar has beaten gas and coal in recent power auctions in the US, whilst this is in high sun areas e.g. Nevada this was also against gas at some of the cheapest prices in the world, this will spread to the rest of the world as PV prices continue to decline. In Italy and Spain solar plants are being built right now that don't have any subsidies and sell power into the open market competing against traditional generation.
Traditional generation can only get more expensive as they are mature technologies, with increasing emissions regulation costs and increasing fuel costs they will become more expensive. Solar on the other hand is dropping in cost by 20% for every doubling of installed base, its decreased by 70% in the last 3 years alone. With no fuel cost solars costs are fixed at build stage so the levelled cost of power production is very predictable and increasingly more cost effective over the long term than traditional power.
Rant over ;-) |
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