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Firstly, it is the fact that we have an aging population that is placing the greatest increase in expenditure and therefore demand on tax contributions.
As the population grows, economic, social and technological circumstances change, the demands on expenditure will change accordingly.
The report in the article is from 4 or 5 years ago by Ian Duncan Smiths think tank (he created it and when he detached himself from it to become a minister, he employed the co director of the think tank as one of his advisors), so the figures are a tad out of date.
What we really need to see is a break down of the increases in government spending over time by specific categories, like pensions, child support, oap care, job seekers etc as an increase in spending of GDP per capita.
That way we can establish what is increasing demand proportionally and better establish our positions on what to do about it.
If working age benefits are dramatically increasing year on year as a percentage of GDP per capita and that they are approaching an unsustainable point, then ofc we need to discuss how we deal with it.
However, if for example, the real driver for unsustainability is an increase in the elderly population, then I suspect the conversation and ethical positions on what to do will be slightly different.
If we need to increase taxes to accomodate an aging population, then I suspect we would have less resistance or demands for benefits for the elderly to be cut than if we needed to increase taxes to accomodate working age benefits.
Without context, clarity and perspective on the causes, effects and long term trends, it's just a case of 'big numbers' shocker! then . |
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